Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026 | ISW
Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
understandingwar.orgwas seen at SPIEF as officials emphasized a stable economy as Russia Day approaches, open letter from Zelensky proposing an immediate ceasefire along Ukraine's frontline and a potential in-person talks; ISW's assessment the June 12 update warns that an Oreshnik IRBM could be used toward Ukraine within the next 24 to 48 hours. Frontline challenges alongside Sumy City artillery strikes; domestic security actions include labeling opposition groups and tightening controls in the run-up to elections. Observers' view adds military strains at the front as authorities project strength.