Masters Cut Line 2026 Projections After Thursday's ...
Sam Burns and Rory McIlroy stood tied atop the leaderboard at five-under-par 67 following the first round of the 2026 Masters on Thursday at Augusta National Golf Club.
bleacherreport.comHere’s the latest on Masters cut-line projections.
- Current consensus places the 2026 Masters cut line around +4 after two rounds, with most models showing a high probability of finishing at +4. This would mean a relatively tight field for the weekend, with only players at +4 or better continuing to play on Saturday and Sunday.[1]
- Live trackers in recent years have noted the cut line can swing in the moment as conditions shift, but early Friday projections for 2026 leaned toward +4 as the most likely outcome, with smaller chances for +3 or +5 depending on weather and scoring runs.[2][1]
- Historical context shows Masters cut lines tend to be lower than other majors in recent years, often in the +2 to +4 range, though 2024 saw +6 and 2020 was an open-criteria year due to pandemic schedule changes.[4][2]
Illustration: A probable weekend leaderboard will feature many players within a few strokes of par, with the cut line near the mid-teens in terms of under-par scores at Augusta, and a handful of big names flirting with or just above the cut depending on Friday’s round results.[3][1]
If you want, I can pull a live update tracker and summarize the exact current cut-line number and which notable players are inside or outside after the latest round.